← Grand Archive TCG - Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive TCG - Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Astra Cleric 1 10.0% 4 100.0% 54.0% 60.0% 51.6% 1226 ↑ top
2 Wind Chess 1 10.0% 5 80.0% 53.0% 56.0% 51.1% 1236 ↑ top
3 Fire Crux Mage 1 10.0% 4 62.5% 50.3% 52.5% 50.1% 1289 ↑ top
4 Fire Exia 1 10.0% 4 62.5% 51.8% 52.5% 50.7% 1188
5 Fire Slimes 1 10.0% 5 60.0% 51.0% 52.0% 50.4% 1199
6 Fire Aggro 1 10.0% 4 50.0% 50.6% 50.0% 50.2% 1085 ↓ low
7 Fire Slice & Dice 1 10.0% 4 50.0% 50.6% 50.0% 50.2% 1085 ↓ low
8 Water Fractal 1 10.0% 4 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 1179
9 Water Astra Ranger 1 10.0% 4 25.0% 47.7% 45.0% 49.1% 1243 ↑ top
10 Fire Umbra Guardian 1 10.0% 5 20.0% 46.3% 44.0% 48.7% 1244 ↑ top
11 Slimes 1 10.0% 5 0.0% 45.2% 40.0% 48.3% 1128 ↓ low