← Phantom Monarch Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Phantom Monarch Store Championship .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 6.2% | 6 | 83.3% | 72.5% | 57.1% | 58.3% | 1399 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Allies | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 75.0% | 64.5% | 56.0% | 56.4% | 1191 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Water Chess | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 75.0% | 64.5% | 56.0% | 56.4% | 1191 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 70.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | 53.9% | 1352 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 62.5% | 46.4% | 52.5% | 48.6% | 1350 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 51.1% | 52.0% | 50.7% | 1389 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Water Genbu | 2 | 12.5% | 11 | 54.5% | 50.0% | 51.0% | 50.0% | 1303 | — |
| 8 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 52.7% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1313 | — |
| 9 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.1% | 50.0% | 51.6% | 1210 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Slimes | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 40.0% | 43.7% | 48.0% | 47.7% | 1229 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 57.5% | 48.0% | 51.4% | 1237 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.3% | 48.0% | 48.9% | 1205 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 35.0% | 45.0% | 44.0% | 1335 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Water Tera Cleric | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 45.1% | 44.0% | 46.5% | 1187 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Arcane | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 0.0% | 27.2% | 40.0% | 41.8% | 1120 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Wind Exia | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 0.0% | 18.8% | 40.0% | 38.4% | 1387 | ↑ top |