EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yume Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 6.2% | 6 | 91.7% | 70.6% | 63.7% | 62.6% | 1417 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 12.5% | 10 | 65.0% | 61.2% | 55.5% | 56.9% | 1237 | — |
| 3 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.1% | 53.3% | 56.6% | 1214 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Seiryuu | 4 | 25.0% | 13 | 50.0% | 39.0% | 48.8% | 44.2% | 1305 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Exia | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.7% | 48.0% | 50.1% | 1224 | — |
| 6 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 37.5% | 43.5% | 48.0% | 48.1% | 1268 | — |
| 7 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 40.5% | 46.7% | 48.9% | 1153 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 37.5% | 48.4% | 46.0% | 47.9% | 1335 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 56.3% | 45.7% | 49.8% | 1232 | — |
| 10 | Fire Suited | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.0% | 42.9% | 47.0% | 1210 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 57.6% | 42.2% | 48.5% | 1183 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Crux Mage | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 12.5% | 25.4% | 42.0% | 39.8% | 1226 | — |