Horse and TaxesTier 1
at Store Champs
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
4-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.2%
avg ELO +10.4 per match
expected value
60.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1329
· median 1329
· range 1329–1329
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1124
Q1 1187
Q3 1344
1484
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
