← Grand Archive TCG Store Championship | Szeged, Pöttyös Zebra
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at Grand Archive TCG Store Championship | Szeged, Pöttyös Zebra
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-5-0
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
45.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1203
· median 1203
· range 1134–1271
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1052
Q1 1143
Q3 1385
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.8% | +3.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 12.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.1% | -6.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -9.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
