← Valkyrie Games Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Valkyrie Games Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 56.5% | 60.0% | 53.0% | 1599 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 52.7% | 55.0% | 51.6% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 56.6% | 53.3% | 53.1% | 1259 | — |
| 4 | Water Wind Vanitas | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.8% | 50.0% | 51.2% | 1169 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Umbra Alice | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 37.9% | 46.7% | 42.5% | 1231 | — |
| 6 | Water Neos | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 39.8% | 46.7% | 42.7% | 1285 | — |
| 7 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 25.0% | 6 | 33.3% | 55.3% | 45.0% | 51.9% | 1081 | ↓ low |