← Dueling Land - Grand Archive Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Dueling Land - Grand Archive Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Horse and Taxes 1 10.0% 3 100.0% 76.0% 60.0% 62.1% 1317
2 Fire Luxem Assassin 1 10.0% 3 66.7% 50.1% 53.3% 50.1% 1360 ↑ top
3 Fire Silvie 1 10.0% 3 66.7% 58.8% 53.3% 54.1% 1258
4 Wind Arcane 1 10.0% 3 66.7% 56.4% 53.3% 53.0% 1258
5 Wind Exia Jin 1 10.0% 3 66.7% 63.8% 53.3% 56.4% 1175 ↓ low
6 Fire Suzaku 1 10.0% 2 50.0% 48.3% 50.0% 49.0% 1197 ↓ low
7 Wind Seiryuu 1 10.0% 3 33.3% 43.7% 46.7% 47.1% 1375 ↑ top
8 Water Luxem Assassin 1 10.0% 2 0.0% 24.1% 40.0% 34.5% 1582 ↑ top
9 Water Tera Mage 1 10.0% 2 0.0% 35.0% 40.0% 41.0% 1162 ↓ low
10 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 10.0% 2 0.0% 35.8% 40.0% 41.5% 1228 ↓ low