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Wind Wakeup ComboTier 2

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decks
2 (25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.2% avg ELO -5.0 per match
expected value
45.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1167 · median 1167 · range 1096–1238 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1088 Q1 1202 Q3 1319 1429
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Exia 12.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.7% +18.7
Slimes 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.5% -15.2
Water Genbu 12.5% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.2% -18.9
Wind Seiryuu 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.1% -4.7
Wind Shadowstrike 12.5% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Wakeup Combo decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card-quantity differences observed in the mirrors — every mirror used an identical decklist.

JSON: /api/events/43344/archetypes/Wind Wakeup Combo