01/16 Online Event Leagues

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	2	25.0%	5-0-0	100.0%	51.1%	60.0%	50.4%	1339	—
2		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-2-0	50.0%	48.4%	50.0%	49.4%	1618	↑ top
3		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	50.0%	40.0%	50.0%	945	↓ low
4		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	12.5%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.0%	48.0%	50.0%	1187	↓ low
5		Wind Chess	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	50.0%	40.0%	50.0%	945	↓ low
6		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	51.3%	53.3%	50.6%	1364	—
7		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.2%	45.0%	49.4%	1373	—
8		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	50.0%	50.0%	49.8%	1379	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Chess 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 12.5%