Hobby Lords Chch Store Championships

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	18.2%	3-5-1	38.9%	44.8%	47.5%	48.3%	1282	—
2		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	9.1%	1-1-1	50.0%	54.7%	50.0%	51.8%	1122	↓ low
3		Slimes	Tier 2	1	9.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	46.6%	48.0%	47.2%	1368	↑ top
4		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	9.1%	5-0-0	100.0%	71.5%	60.0%	58.1%	1454	↑ top
5		Water Byakko	Tier 1	1	9.1%	1-2-1	37.5%	39.9%	50.0%	47.9%	1340	↑ top
6		Water Chess	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	25.6%	40.0%	38.6%	1122	↓ low
7		Water Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	9.1%	1-2-1	37.5%	39.9%	50.0%	47.9%	1340	↑ top
8		Wind Allies	Tier 1	1	9.1%	1-1-2	50.0%	63.5%	50.0%	55.4%	1074	↓ low
9		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	52.2%	45.0%	49.9%	1150	↓ low
10		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	9.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	47.2%	52.0%	50.3%	1317	↑ top
11		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	1	9.1%	4-1-0	80.0%	61.2%	56.0%	53.7%	1381	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 18.2%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 9.1%
• Slimes 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Byakko 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Chess 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 9.1%