← CM Westcity Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at CM Westcity Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Merlin | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 46.8% | 58.3% | 49.9% | 1558 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 90.0% | 51.2% | 58.0% | 50.4% | 1584 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 65.0% | 56.0% | 56.3% | 1412 | — |
| 4 | Water Allies | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 80.0% | 69.0% | 56.0% | 56.8% | 1257 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 60.7% | 52.0% | 53.9% | 1184 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 25.0% | 32.6% | 45.0% | 39.6% | 1491 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 42.9% | 45.0% | 47.1% | 1383 | — |
| 8 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 40.1% | 40.0% | 45.4% | 1102 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Luxem Tamer | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 40.1% | 40.0% | 45.4% | 1102 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Fractal | 2 | 20.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 39.8% | 36.7% | 43.4% | 1324 | — |