← GA Middle East Weekly PTM #6
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly PTM #6.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 51.9% | 60.0% | 50.9% | 1357 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.8% | 53.3% | 50.4% | 1276 | — |
| 3 | Water Tera Tamer | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.0% | 53.3% | 50.5% | 1219 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 49.0% | 53.3% | 49.5% | 1490 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 50.0% | 50.6% | 50.0% | 50.4% | 1333 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.4% | 46.7% | 49.7% | 1222 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Exia | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 48.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | 1235 | — |
| 8 | Water Wind Vanitas | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 49.2% | 40.0% | 49.5% | 1093 | ↓ low |