← Phantom Monarch Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Phantom Monarch Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 80.0% | 62.6% | 58.9% | 56.6% | 1378 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 80.0% | 54.7% | 57.5% | 52.3% | 1405 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.1% | 51.1% | 52.3% | 1163 | — |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.8% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 1163 | — |
| 5 | Fire Suited | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.7% | 46.7% | 1189 | — |
| 6 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 46.3% | 46.7% | 48.3% | 1054 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.7% | 46.7% | 47.5% | 1153 | — |
| 8 | Fire Astra Cleric | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 34.8% | 40.0% | 42.9% | 1023 | ↓ low |