← Victory Point Store Championship
Water AlliesTier 1
at Victory Point Store Championship
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-1-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.4%
avg ELO +4.7 per match
expected value
52.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1318
· median 1318
· range 1318–1318
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1162
Q1 1267
Q3 1318
1364
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +4.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Jin | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
