← PTM Store Championship Hobby Lords Takapuna
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at PTM Store Championship Hobby Lords Takapuna
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.5%
avg ELO -3.5 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1184
· median 1184
· range 1184–1184
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1102
Q1 1185
Q3 1446
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aetherwing | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.8% | +22.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.4 |
| Wind Byakko | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.0% | -19.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suzaku decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
