← The Armoury Store Championships PTM
Water AlliesTier 2
at The Armoury Store Championships PTM
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.6%
avg ELO -7.0 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1084
· median 1084
· range 1084–1084
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1084
Q1 1236
Q3 1443
1541
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
