← Phantom Monarchs Championship
Fire SuitedTier 2
at Phantom Monarchs Championship
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.4%
avg ELO -3.0 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1194
· median 1194
· range 1176–1211
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1110
Q1 1175
Q3 1222
1343
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.6% | -14.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.6 |
| Horse and Taxes | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 12.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.9% | +16.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suited decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
