← GA Middle East Weekly PTM #9
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly PTM #9.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 52.3% | 60.0% | 51.1% | 1302 | — |
| 2 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 83.3% | 51.5% | 56.7% | 50.7% | 1197 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Fire Umbra Diana | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.5% | 53.3% | 50.2% | 1425 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1276 | — |
| 5 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.9% | 46.7% | 49.5% | 1313 | — |
| 6 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.3% | 46.7% | 49.7% | 1346 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Neos | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 48.7% | 40.0% | 49.2% | 1207 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 48.4% | 40.0% | 49.0% | 1196 | ↓ low |