← Grand Archive TCG - Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive TCG - Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Umbra Ranger 1 7.1% 4 75.0% 52.9% 56.0% 51.3% 1169 ↓ low
2 Fire Exia 1 7.1% 4 75.0% 52.7% 56.0% 51.3% 1188
3 Wind Chess 1 7.1% 4 75.0% 52.5% 55.0% 51.0% 1236 ↑ top
4 Fire Tera Diao Chan 1 7.1% 4 62.5% 51.8% 54.0% 51.0% 1085 ↓ low
5 Slimes 1 7.1% 3 66.7% 51.3% 53.3% 50.6% 1204
6 Water Ravishing Mill 1 7.1% 4 62.5% 51.3% 52.5% 50.5% 1169 ↓ low
7 Fire Slimes 1 7.1% 4 50.0% 49.8% 52.0% 50.3% 1199
8 Wind Astra Cleric 1 7.1% 4 50.0% 49.8% 51.7% 50.2% 1202
9 Water Astra Ranger 1 7.1% 4 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 1243 ↑ top
10 Water Tera Mage 1 7.1% 4 50.0% 49.0% 50.0% 49.6% 1289 ↑ top
11 Wind Razorgale 1 7.1% 4 37.5% 48.7% 50.0% 50.0% 1244 ↑ top
12 Water Fractal 2 14.3% 8 18.8% 45.9% 43.1% 48.6% 1156 ↓ low
13 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 7.1% 3 0.0% 46.0% 40.0% 48.1% 1175