← Grand Archive TCG - Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
Water Astra RangerTier 1
at Grand Archive TCG - Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-0-1
overall winrate
87.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.5%
avg ELO +2.2 per match
expected value
56.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1243
· median 1243
· range 1243–1243
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1085
Q1 1156
Q3 1240
1289
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.7 |
| Fire Suited | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.1% | +3.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
