Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at AJITO SC
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-4-1
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.8%
avg ELO -2.8 per match
expected value
51.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1504
· median 1504
· range 1410–1597
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1069
Q1 1217
Q3 1401
1597
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aetherwing | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.8% | +7.5 |
| Fire Exia Jin | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.2% | -9.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.8% | -10.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +6.0 |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 30.6% | -18.6 |
| Water Tera Mage | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
