← Grand Archive - Constructed - Storechamps
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive - Constructed - Storechamps.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 9.1% | 6 | 75.0% | 61.2% | 58.1% | 55.7% | 1459 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Genbu | 1 | 9.1% | 6 | 83.3% | 49.7% | 57.1% | 49.1% | 1702 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 18.2% | 9 | 61.1% | 56.0% | 55.4% | 53.7% | 1505 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 48.8% | 53.3% | 51.4% | 1404 | — |
| 5 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.6% | 46.7% | 49.6% | 1182 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Umbra Guardian | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 57.1% | 46.7% | 50.6% | 1257 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Chess | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 31.1% | 45.0% | 39.5% | 1460 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Fractal | 2 | 18.2% | 8 | 25.0% | 46.7% | 43.3% | 48.4% | 1194 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 42.4% | 40.0% | 46.2% | 1267 | ↓ low |