← Heretics Haven - PTM Store Championship

Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2

at Heretics Haven - PTM Store Championship

decks
1 (10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3 0-2-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.0% avg ELO -9.7 per match
expected value
42.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1147 · median 1147 · range 1147–1147 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1075 Q1 1164 Q3 1329 1342
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 20.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.7% -11.7
Fire Aetherwing 10.0% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 10.0% 0
Fire Suited 10.0% 0
Fire Suzaku 10.0% 0
Horse and Taxes 10.0% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.7% -13.3
Wind Luxem Zander 10.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 47.4% -4.2
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/45095/archetypes/Fire Firebloom Burn