← 1/3/2026 YUGUCO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at 1/3/2026 YUGUCO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-4-1
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.4%
avg ELO -6.7 per match
expected value
46.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1232
· median 1232
· range 1203–1262
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1088
Q1 1175
Q3 1284
1498
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 18.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 18.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 39.7% | -9.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.9% | -21.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
