Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Fox Den Store Champs
decks
2
(22.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.3%
avg ELO -1.9 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1276
· median 1276
· range 1139–1413
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1102
Q1 1163
Q3 1382
1415
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Wind Exia | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.2% | -4.6 |
