← The Rare Den Collectibles PTM Store Championship
Wind ChessTier 2
at The Rare Den Collectibles PTM Store Championship
decks
2
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.8%
avg ELO -6.5 per match
expected value
42.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1162
· median 1162
· range 1142–1182
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1068
Q1 1172
Q3 1328
1418
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.4 |
| Slimes | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Horse and Taxes | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Chess decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
