NEXUS PHANTOM MONCARCH STORE CHAMPIONSHIP

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	22.2%	2-3-0	40.0%	45.6%	48.0%	48.4%	1254	↓ low
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	11.1%	1-1-1	50.0%	48.9%	52.5%	51.3%	1315	—
3		Slimes	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-2-1	16.7%	44.1%	43.3%	47.3%	1165	↓ low
4		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	11.1%	4-0-0	100.0%	68.5%	60.0%	57.8%	1499	↑ top
5		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 2	1	11.1%	1-1-0	50.0%	47.5%	46.7%	45.7%	1446	↑ top
6		Water Fractal	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-1-1	62.5%	56.4%	52.5%	52.6%	1293	—
7		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	11.1%	1-1-1	50.0%	43.9%	52.5%	49.2%	1356	↑ top
8		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	11.1%	0-2-0	0.0%	41.0%	40.0%	45.0%	1154	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 22.2%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 11.1%
• Slimes 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Crux Assassin 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 11.1%