← Card Caster Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Card Caster Store Championship
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-3-2
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.6%
avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
45.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1243
· median 1243
· range 1238–1249
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1144
Q1 1233
Q3 1294
1420
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -9.8 |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.1 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.6% | +10.2 |
