Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Store Championship GA
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-1-1
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.9%
avg ELO +7.4 per match
expected value
56.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1264
· median 1264
· range 1262–1265
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1163
Q1 1201
Q3 1254
1265
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.6% | -18.2 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 12.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 59.3% | +8.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.6% | +15.9 |
