← King Fandom PTM store championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at King Fandom PTM store championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 87.5% | 54.0% | 58.0% | 51.7% | 1528 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 59.8% | 56.0% | 55.4% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 64.3% | 55.0% | 55.7% | 1305 | — |
| 4 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 66.7% | 42.4% | 53.3% | 46.5% | 1638 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Astra Cleric | 2 | 13.3% | 6 | 58.3% | 53.2% | 51.7% | 51.1% | 1391 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Astra Diana | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 56.8% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 1231 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Fractal | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 55.3% | 50.0% | 52.1% | 1211 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 47.4% | 48.0% | 47.1% | 1310 | — |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 47.0% | 48.0% | 47.8% | 1325 | — |
| 10 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 45.0% | 46.7% | 47.7% | 1139 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 50.3% | 45.0% | 49.5% | 1184 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 16.7% | 37.5% | 43.3% | 44.1% | 1156 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Tera Cleric | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 16.7% | 43.5% | 43.3% | 47.0% | 1130 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 37.1% | 40.0% | 44.0% | 1075 | ↓ low |