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Wind ArisannaTier 2

at Reaper Game Store - Store Championship

decks
1 (4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 0-3-1
overall winrate
12.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.7% avg ELO -9.8 per match
expected value
42.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1267 · median 1267 · range 1267–1267 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1129 Q1 1251 Q3 1411 1607
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Aetherwing 12.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.0% -12.8
Wind Seiryuu 12.5% 0
Fire Crux Mage 8.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.3% -1.1
Water Ravishing Mill 8.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.4% -12.2
Wind Shadowstrike 8.3% 0
Fire Aetherwing 4.2% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 4.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.8% -13.2
Fire Oblation 4.2% 0
Fire Suited 4.2% 0
Fire Umbra Alice 4.2% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 4.2% 0
Slimes 4.2% 0
Water Fractal 4.2% 0
Wind Arcane 4.2% 0
Wind Byakko 4.2% 0
Wind Cats 4.2% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 4.2% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Wind Arisanna decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/46301/archetypes/Wind Arisanna