← GFM - Grand Archive - Store Champion
Fire AetherwingTier 2
at GFM - Grand Archive - Store Champion
decks
2
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-6-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.6%
avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
47.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1374
· median 1374
· range 1241–1508
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1010
Q1 1226
Q3 1367
1508
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arcane | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +1.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Horse and Taxes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.9% | -4.9 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Guo Jia | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -14.0 |
| Wind Byakko | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
| Wind Diana | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.8% | +22.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Aetherwing decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
