← Gonza Grand Archive PTM Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Gonza Grand Archive PTM Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 100.0% | 66.3% | 62.7% | 57.3% | 1300 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Exia | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 80.0% | 68.3% | 58.7% | 59.8% | 1186 | — |
| 3 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 16.7% | 8 | 50.0% | 49.4% | 51.1% | 50.7% | 1203 | — |
| 4 | Water Fractal | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.6% | 50.0% | 48.0% | 1354 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 46.5% | 46.7% | 48.4% | 1146 | — |
| 6 | Water Genbu | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 43.8% | 46.7% | 47.1% | 1177 | — |
| 7 | Wind Allies | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 39.2% | 46.7% | 45.0% | 1165 | — |
| 8 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 51.9% | 45.0% | 49.5% | 1086 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.4% | 45.0% | 45.5% | 1122 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Diana | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.3% | 45.0% | 47.8% | 1033 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Slimes | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 0.0% | 29.7% | 40.0% | 40.5% | 1154 | — |