← Grand Archive Store ChampionShip - side7
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive Store ChampionShip - side7.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 12.5% | 7 | 100.0% | 61.0% | 65.0% | 55.3% | 1464 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Fractal | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 64.3% | 53.3% | 56.6% | 1289 | — |
| 3 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 62.5% | 50.5% | 52.5% | 50.2% | 1364 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.3% | 51.1% | 52.1% | 1264 | — |
| 5 | Water Crux Assassin | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.3% | 51.1% | 52.1% | 1264 | — |
| 6 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 46.0% | 46.7% | 48.1% | 1164 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 39.2% | 46.7% | 44.9% | 1418 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 12.5% | 37.8% | 42.5% | 45.1% | 1193 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 0.0% | 36.9% | 40.0% | 44.7% | 1099 | ↓ low |