← Grand Archive TCG - Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive TCG - Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Crux Mage 1 12.5% 3 100.0% 53.4% 60.0% 51.6% 1289 ↑ top
2 Wind Chess 1 12.5% 3 66.7% 51.3% 55.0% 50.9% 1236 ↑ top
3 Wind Shadowstrike 1 12.5% 3 66.7% 51.4% 53.3% 50.7% 1244 ↑ top
4 Fire Suited 2 25.0% 4 62.5% 51.2% 52.5% 50.5% 1165 ↓ low
5 Fire Exia 1 12.5% 3 33.3% 48.9% 45.0% 49.2% 1188 ↓ low
6 Slimes 1 12.5% 3 16.7% 47.5% 45.0% 49.1% 1204
7 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 12.5% 3 0.0% 46.2% 40.0% 48.2% 1175 ↓ low