Game Kastle Santa Clara Special Event

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	20.0%	4-0-0	100.0%	51.9%	60.0%	50.8%	1448	↑ top
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-1-0	66.7%	48.9%	53.3%	49.5%	1616	↑ top
3		Fire Silvie	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-1-0	66.7%	51.0%	50.0%	50.0%	1228	↓ low
4		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-1-0	66.7%	50.0%	53.3%	50.0%	1474	↑ top
5		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-2-0	33.3%	48.7%	45.0%	49.1%	1280	—
6		Water Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-2-0	33.3%	51.7%	46.7%	50.8%	1257	↓ low
7		Wind Byakko	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-2-0	33.3%	48.3%	45.0%	49.4%	1224	↓ low
8		Wind Crux Assassin	Tier 2	1	10.0%	0-3-0	0.0%	50.0%	40.0%	50.0%	1008	↓ low
9		Wind Neos	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.2%	45.0%	49.7%	1364	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Crux Mage 2 decks · 20.0%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Silvie 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Crux Merlin 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Crux Assassin 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 10.0%