← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 2/28/2026

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 2/28/2026. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Water Aetherwing 1 11.1% 4 87.5% 50.7% 57.5% 50.3% 1463 ↑ top
2 Wind Luxem Assassin 1 11.1% 3 66.7% 50.5% 53.3% 50.2% 1388 ↑ top
3 Wind Shadowstrike 1 11.1% 4 62.5% 51.0% 52.5% 50.4% 1265 ↓ low
4 Wind Byakko 1 11.1% 3 50.0% 49.6% 50.0% 49.8% 1444 ↑ top
5 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 11.1% 3 50.0% 50.2% 50.0% 50.1% 1241 ↓ low
6 Fire Firebloom Burn 1 11.1% 3 33.3% 50.3% 46.7% 50.1% 1161 ↓ low
7 Water Astra Ranger 1 11.1% 3 33.3% 49.5% 46.7% 49.8% 1220 ↓ low
8 Fire Suzaku 1 11.1% 1 0.0% 49.2% 40.0% 49.2% 1442 ↑ top
9 Wind Exia 1 11.1% 2 0.0% 48.3% 40.0% 49.0% 1278 ↓ low