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Wind SeiryuuTier 1

at Grand Archive TCG Store Championship Event

decks
3 (33.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9 5-3-1
overall winrate
61.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.3% avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
54.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1350 · median 1383 · range 1196–1472 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
941 Q1 1120 Q3 1383 1513
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 22.2% 5 2-2-1 50.0% 50.0% 47.9% -1.2
Fire Crux Mage 11.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 45.3% -4.5
Water Ravishing Mill 11.1% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 11.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.4% +3.8
Wind Razorgale 11.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.0% +12.7
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 34 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 34 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 2 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 2 0 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 2 0 0
Forest Cake +1.00 2 0 0
Enfeebling Orb -1.00 0 2 0
Backup Charger +1.00 2 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 2 0 0
Lost Providence -1.00 0 2 0
Unmake Duality +1.00 2 0 0
Turbo Charge +1.00 2 0 0
Lightweaver's Assault -1.00 0 2 0
Safeguard Amulet -1.00 0 2 0
The Looking Glass +1.00 2 0 0
Spellward Scepter -1.00 0 2 0
Escape the Wreckage +1.00 2 0 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 2 0
Regal Inquisition -1.00 0 2 0
Topsy Decree +1.00 2 0 0
Beseeched Fatestone -1.00 0 2 0
Reclaim +1.00 2 0 0
Staggering Strike -1.00 0 2 0
Candlelight Hourglass +1.00 2 0 0
Scout the Land +1.00 2 0 0
Stolen Chance +1.00 2 0 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 2 0
Peer Beyond +1.00 2 0 0
Mystic Purifier +1.00 2 0 0
Sunblessed Gazelle -1.00 0 2 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 2 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +1.00 2 0 0
Harness Lightning -1.00 0 2 0
Brisk Windtrotter -1.00 0 2 0
Byakko's Command -1.00 0 2 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 2 0

JSON: /api/events/47074/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu