← Grand Archive Store tournament
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Grand Archive Store tournament
decks
2
(15.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-1-3
overall winrate
68.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
68.1%
avg ELO +8.7 per match
expected value
54.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1202
· median 1202
· range 1171–1233
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1031
Q1 1141
Q3 1295
1394
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 7.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.0% | +5.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.7 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.5 |
| Water Fractal | 7.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Water Genbu | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.1% | +20.9 |
| Water Neos | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.7% | -5.4 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 7.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
