← Gameforce PTM Store Championships
Water Crux AssassinTier 2
at Gameforce PTM Store Championships
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-2-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.9%
avg ELO -9.8 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1264
· median 1264
· range 1264–1264
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1212
Q1 1268
Q3 1453
1520
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.0 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
