← Grand Archive TCG Store Championship in GiK
Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Grand Archive TCG Store Championship in GiK
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-1-1
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.6%
avg ELO +1.9 per match
expected value
59.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1430
· median 1430
· range 1430–1430
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1038
Q1 1171
Q3 1338
1439
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.6% | +7.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 41.6% | -8.0 |
| Wind Arcane | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Wind Diana | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.1 |
| Wind Lorraine | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
