← Gaia GA PTM Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Gaia GA PTM Store Championship
decks
2
(11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
4-5-0
overall winrate
44.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.0%
avg ELO -0.9 per match
expected value
51.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1259
· median 1259
· range 1169–1350
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1126
Q1 1169
Q3 1444
1610
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 17.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.2% | +13.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.2% | -17.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.8% | -19.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.3% | +7.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
