← Curio Grand Archive PTM Store Championship
Water Astra RangerTier 1
at Curio Grand Archive PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.6%
avg ELO -2.1 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1442
· median 1442
· range 1442–1442
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1138
Q1 1381
Q3 1451
1511
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 22.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Chess | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
