Water SeiryuuTier 2
at Lokalne granie
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.3%
avg ELO -2.7 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1173
· median 1173
· range 1173–1173
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1038
Q1 1096
Q3 1268
1430
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Polkhawk | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Slimes | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Wind Diana | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.3% | -2.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Seiryuu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
