← Game Corner x Constructed x Saturday
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Game Corner x Constructed x Saturday.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
2nd
Wind Wakeup Combo
52.0%
↑ top
1st
Fire Umbra Guardian
58.7%
↑ top
3rd
Wind Shadowstrike
48.3%
↑ top
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 25.0% | 7 | 78.6% | 69.4% | 58.7% | 59.5% | 1374 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 60.0% | 53.9% | 52.0% | 51.6% | 1381 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 25.0% | 5 | 50.0% | 44.4% | 48.3% | 45.3% | 1361 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.4% | 45.0% | 47.8% | 1173 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 33.2% | 42.2% | 36.6% | 1405 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 41.2% | 40.0% | 45.9% | 1029 | ↓ low |