← Gamescape Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Gamescape Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 87.5% | 63.1% | 57.5% | 55.2% | 1354 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 56.7% | 56.0% | 53.9% | 1334 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 57.6% | 56.0% | 54.2% | 1325 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 62.5% | 53.8% | 55.8% | 54.4% | 1246 | — |
| 5 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 66.7% | 49.5% | 53.3% | 49.8% | 1345 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.9% | 50.0% | 50.8% | 1193 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 56.6% | 50.0% | 52.6% | 1168 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.2% | 50.0% | 50.5% | 1256 | — |
| 9 | Water Crux Merlin | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.2% | 46.7% | 49.6% | 1161 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Astra Ranger | 2 | 15.4% | 6 | 33.3% | 39.1% | 46.7% | 46.2% | 1236 | — |
| 11 | Fire Exia | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 37.8% | 40.0% | 44.1% | 1118 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Umbra Ciel | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 32.2% | 40.0% | 42.0% | 1131 | ↓ low |