EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at The Coffer PTM Store Champs .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 75.6% | 60.0% | 61.9% | 1199 | — |
| 2 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 83.3% | 66.8% | 56.7% | 57.8% | 1205 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 52.3% | 53.3% | 51.1% | 1163 | — |
| 4 | Wind Neos | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 50.0% | 45.8% | 50.0% | 48.0% | 1213 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 46.7% | 46.7% | 48.5% | 1139 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 34.0% | 46.7% | 42.5% | 1263 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Arcane Rai | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 43.4% | 43.3% | 46.9% | 1096 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Exia | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 16.7% | 35.4% | 43.3% | 43.2% | 1162 | — |