Water Umbra DianaTier 2
at Yeti Webcam First MRC Local
decks
1
(2.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.2%
avg ELO +0.8 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1189
· median 1189
· range 1189–1189
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1201
Q3 1404
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 16.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 8.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 6.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Fire Erupting | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Wind Neos | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Umbra Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
