← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 4/30/2026
Fire NeosTier 2
at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 4/30/2026
decks
1
(2.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
1-1-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.9%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1426
· median 1426
· range 1426–1426
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1090
Q1 1179
Q3 1388
1535
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 8.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.5 |
| Water Fractal | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chess | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fractal | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Allies | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Nico | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Neos decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
