← Yolo Tcg Park East Malaysia Grand Archive Store Championship
Water ExiaTier 2
at Yolo Tcg Park East Malaysia Grand Archive Store Championship
decks
2
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
2-4-2
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.2%
avg ELO -1.8 per match
expected value
47.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1212
· median 1212
· range 1197–1226
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1085
Q1 1213
Q3 1301
1505
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 17.9% | 4 | 1-1-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.6% | +3.6 |
| Fire Oblation | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.2% | -15.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
